Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Valley Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Elgin
Tract 17089851909 ·
Kane County, IL · pop 4,310 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
17089851909 is a census tract in the Valley Creek area of Elgin, IL. It scores 3.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,310 residents. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.5/10.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%Stable renters 9%Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,659
Renter share15.9%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$111,830
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Valley Creek
Moderate
Within parent city
33th percentile
#17 of 25 tracts In Elgin
Low
Within county
34th percentile
#69 of 104 tracts In Kane County
Low
Within state
22th percentile
#2,555 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elgin and the region
Centroid at 42.0470, -88.3249 · click any tract to drill in
Why Valley Creek scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elgin
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,259 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elgin
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elgin
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elgin
3.5
How Valley Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
38%Socioeconomic
58%Household composition
61%Racial/ethnic minority
72%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
38Total filings over 3 yrs
4.06%Avg annual filing rate
4.7%Peak (2011)
16Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Filings by year2009 to 2011
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
11.2%Housing insecurity
6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
12.9%Food insecurity
10.1%SNAP enrollment
6.7%Transit barriers
11.3%No health insurance
14.1%Frequent mental distress
26.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Valley Creek
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.1/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 38 filings here across 3 tracked years. It sits 0.7 points below the Kane County average of 4.1. The worst year on record was 2011, when 4.7% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 4.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #59,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $111,830, annual rent is just 14%.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17089851909
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17089851909?
Census tract 17089851909 in the Valley Creek neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17089851909?
Median gross rent is $1,259/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17089851909?
6.2% of residents in tract 17089851909 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,310.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17089851909?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 58th, minority 61th, housing 72th.
Q5
Is tract 17089851909 considered part of Valley Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17089851909 fall within Valley Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17089851909?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 38 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 17089851909 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.06% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17089851909 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17089851909 compare to Elgin overall?
Tract 17089851909 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Elgin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elgin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elgin
Top eight tracts in Elgin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.