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Census Tract · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Winthrop Harbor Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17097860104 · Lake County, IL · pop 2,954 · 64% of tract blocks fall in Winthrop Harbor

With a score of 5.3/10, tract 17097860104 in Winthrop Harbor, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,954. Severe burden reaches 52%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 7% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,425
Renter share19.6%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$88,555

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Winthrop Harbor
Very High
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#51 of 159 tracts In Lake County
Elevated
Within state
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#1,346 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
National
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#28,095 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winthrop Harbor and the region

Centroid at 42.4701, -87.8173 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winthrop Harbor scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winthrop Harbor
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,289 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winthrop Harbor
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winthrop Harbor
3.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winthrop Harbor
6.3

How Winthrop Harbor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winthrop Harbor risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 860104Winthrop Harbor: 4.44.4Winthrop Harborparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winthrop Harbor

Cost burden runs 66% here against 42.6% across Lake County. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. Against the Lake County average of 4.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points.

On the national scale it lands near the 67th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Winthrop Harbor as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract.

Social vulnerability reads 2.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $88,555, annual rent is just 17%. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,289, close to the Winthrop Harbor average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17097860104

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17097860104?

Census tract 17097860104 in Winthrop Harbor scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17097860104?

Median gross rent is $1,289/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17097860104?

12.8% of residents in tract 17097860104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,954.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17097860104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 12th, minority 20th, housing 25th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 17097860104 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 17097860104 compare to Winthrop Harbor overall?

Tract 17097860104 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Winthrop Harbor at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winthrop Harbor; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winthrop Harbor

Top eight tracts in Winthrop Harbor ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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