Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Deerpath Eviction Risk: Lower , Lake Forest
Tract 17097863500 · Lake County, IL · pop 4,439 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 17097863500 covers part of the Deerpath area of Lake Forest, IL, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units2,096
Renter share17.9%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate3.3%
Median income$206,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
11
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
12
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lake Forest and the region
Centroid at 42.2555, -87.8644 · click any tract to drill in
Why Deerpath scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lake Forest
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
3.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,911 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Forest
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Forest
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Forest
4.6
How Deerpath compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 9%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 29%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 4%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.0%Housing insecurity
- 2.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.1%Food insecurity
- 3.0%SNAP enrollment
- 2.9%Transit barriers
- 3.3%No health insurance
- 10.0%Frequent mental distress
- 21.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Deerpath
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Against the Lake County average of 4.4, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.4 points.
SNAP participation runs 3.0% against 15.2% nationally. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.2/10. Against average income of $206,500, annual rent is just 11%. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 2.1 points cooler.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17097863500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17097863500?
Census tract 17097863500 in the Deerpath neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17097863500?
Median gross rent is $1,911/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17097863500?
3.3% of residents in tract 17097863500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,439.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17097863500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 60th, minority 29th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 17097863500 considered part of Deerpath?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17097863500 fall within Deerpath (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 17097863500 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17097863500 compare to Lake Forest overall?
Tract 17097863500 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Forest at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Forest; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 17097863500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lake Forest
Top eight tracts in Lake Forest ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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