Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #79,124 of 84,120 nationally
Bull Valley Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 17111870814 · McHenry County, IL · pop 3,671 · 23% of tract blocks fall in Bull Valley
Bull Valley anchors census tract 17111870814, which lands at 4.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 18% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 13% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,821 a month against an average household income of $141,875 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 2% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.5
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units1,323
Renter share1.7%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate8.7%
Median income$141,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
35
th percentile
Low
Within state
12
th percentile
Very Low
National
6
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bull Valley and the region
Centroid at 42.3003, -88.3341 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bull Valley scores 1.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bull Valley
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
8.7% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,821 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bull Valley
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bull Valley
2.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bull Valley
4.8
How Bull Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 9%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.4%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.4%Food insecurity
- 7.1%SNAP enrollment
- 4.9%Transit barriers
- 5.3%No health insurance
- 14.2%Frequent mental distress
- 24.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bull Valley
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 6.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bull Valley, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the McHenry County average of 5.0 and below the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 4th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 17111870814
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17111870814?
Census tract 17111870814 in Bull Valley scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17111870814?
Median gross rent is $1,821/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 13% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17111870814?
8.7% of residents in tract 17111870814 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,671.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17111870814?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 9th, minority 17th, housing 9th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 17111870814 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 17111870814 compare to Bull Valley overall?
Tract 17111870814 scores 1.5/10, lower than the parent city of Bull Valley at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bull Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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