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Census Tract · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

Bull Valley Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 17111870814 · McHenry County, IL · pop 3,671 · 23% of tract blocks fall in Bull Valley

Census tract 17111870814 covers part of Bull Valley, IL, and scores 3.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,671 residents. Cost burden runs roughly one in eight here against 40.1% across McHenry County.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 2% Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units1,323
Renter share1.7%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate8.7%
Median income$141,875

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Bull Valley
Moderate
Within county
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#38 of 64 tracts In McHenry County
Moderate
Within state
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#2,285 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Low
National
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#52,479 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bull Valley and the region

Centroid at 42.3003, -88.3341 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bull Valley scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bull Valley
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
8.7% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,821 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bull Valley
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bull Valley
2.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bull Valley
4.8

How Bull Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bull Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.83.8This tracttract 870814Bull Valley: 4.34.3Bull Valleyparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bull Valley

Average gross rent is $1,821, 48% below the Bull Valley average. The clearest offset is economic stress at 2.2/10.

Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.3/10. Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Food insecurity runs 8.4% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 7.1% against 15.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #52,479 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 2% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $141,875, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.3 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the McHenry County average of 4.3 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17111870814

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17111870814?

Census tract 17111870814 in Bull Valley scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17111870814?

Median gross rent is $1,821/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 13% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17111870814?

8.7% of residents in tract 17111870814 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,671.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17111870814?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 9th, minority 17th, housing 9th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 17111870814 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 17111870814 compare to Bull Valley overall?

Tract 17111870814 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Bull Valley at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bull Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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