Census Tract · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

Moline Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17161021300 · Rock Island County, IL · pop 5,023 · 97% of tract blocks fall in Moline

Tract 17161021300 sits in Moline eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 28% Owners 50%

Tract context

Occupied units2,215

Renter share50.1%

SVI overall0.92

Poverty rate29.2%

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Moline and the region

Centroid at 41.5007, -90.4704 · click any tract to drill in

Why Moline scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Moline

6.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.6

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

29.2% poverty · this tract

7.3

Supply constraint

$664 rent vs county FMR

1.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Moline

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Moline

7.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Moline

6.6

How Moline compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

89%Socioeconomic
94%Household composition
58%Racial/ethnic minority
81%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.9%Housing insecurity
11.5%Utility-shutoff threat
21.9%Food insecurity
24.1%SNAP enrollment
11.1%Transit barriers
10.7%No health insurance
18.2%Frequent mental distress
36.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Moline

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Average gross rent is $664, 26% below the Moline average.

It sits 1.3 points above the Rock Island County average of 4.6. On the high side, economic stress reads 7.3/10.

SNAP participation runs 24.1% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.2/10. Cost burden runs 45% here against 40.3% across Rock Island County.

That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.3/10.

Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17161021300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17161021300?

Census tract 17161021300 in Moline scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17161021300?

Median gross rent is $664/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17161021300?

29.2% of residents in tract 17161021300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,023.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17161021300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 94th, minority 58th, housing 81th.

What share of households in tract 17161021300 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17161021300 compare to Moline overall?

Tract 17161021300 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Moline at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Moline eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Moline

Top eight tracts in Moline ranked by composite eviction-risk score.