Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Belleville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17163501502 · St. Clair County, IL · pop 2,665 · 51% of tract blocks fall in Belleville

17163501502 is a census tract in Belleville, IL. It scores 5/10 for landlords. Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 8% Owners 81%

Tract context

Occupied units1,167

Renter share19.3%

SVI overall0.33

Poverty rate15.7%

Median income$70,156

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Belleville and the region

Centroid at 38.5630, -90.0401 · click any tract to drill in

Why Belleville scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Belleville

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

15.7% poverty · this tract

3.9

Supply constraint

$1,103 rent vs county FMR

4.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Belleville

6.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Belleville

8.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Belleville

6.5

How Belleville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

44%Socioeconomic
16%Household composition
60%Racial/ethnic minority
33%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

18%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.0%Housing insecurity
8.7%Utility-shutoff threat
14.7%Food insecurity
14.5%SNAP enrollment
8.0%Transit barriers
6.6%No health insurance
16.4%Frequent mental distress
27.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Belleville

Cost burden runs 57% here against 44.8% across St. Clair County. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. At $1,103 a month, rents run 8% over what the rest of Belleville commands.

This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for East St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the St. Clair County average of 4.5 closely.

Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $70,156.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17163501502

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17163501502?

Census tract 17163501502 in Belleville scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17163501502?

Median gross rent is $1,103/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17163501502?

15.7% of residents in tract 17163501502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,665.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17163501502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 16th, minority 60th, housing 33th.

What share of households in tract 17163501502 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17163501502 compare to Belleville overall?

Tract 17163501502 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Belleville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Belleville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17163501502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Belleville

Top eight tracts in Belleville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.