Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Val-E-Vue Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield

Tract 17167000202 · Sangamon County, IL · pop 3,140 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

17167000202 is a census tract in the Val-E-Vue area of Springfield, IL. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,140 residents. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 28% Owners 49%

Tract context

Occupied units1,435

Renter share51.5%

SVI overall0.79

Poverty rate32.8%

Median income$44,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 39.8146, -89.6795 · click any tract to drill in

Why Val-E-Vue scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.8

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

32.8% poverty · this tract

8.2

Supply constraint

$859 rent vs county FMR

2.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

How Val-E-Vue compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

61%Socioeconomic
83%Household composition
56%Racial/ethnic minority
88%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
5%Grade B
23%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Val-E-Vue. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.6%Housing insecurity
13.4%Utility-shutoff threat
24.5%Food insecurity
27.6%SNAP enrollment
12.6%Transit barriers
10.1%No health insurance
20.7%Frequent mental distress
36.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Val-E-Vue

The poverty rate is 33%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The dominant input is economic stress at 8.2/10. SNAP participation runs 27.6% against 15.2% nationally.

Cost burden runs 46% here against 38.5% across Sangamon County. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10.

Against the Sangamon County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.6/10.

Average gross rent is $859, 12% below the Springfield average. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Springfield. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $44,750.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17167000202

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17167000202?

Census tract 17167000202 in the Val-E-Vue neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17167000202?

Median gross rent is $859/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17167000202?

32.8% of residents in tract 17167000202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,140.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17167000202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 83th, minority 56th, housing 88th.

Is tract 17167000202 considered part of Val-E-Vue?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17167000202 fall within Val-E-Vue (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17167000202 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17167000202 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 17167000202 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17167000202 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.