Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

South Town Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield

Tract 17167004200 · Sangamon County, IL · pop 1,830 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 17167004200 covers part of the South Town area of Springfield, IL, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,830 residents. Cost burden runs 66% here against 38.5% across Sangamon County.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 47% Stable renters 24% Owners 29%

Tract context

Occupied units724

Renter share70.4%

SVI overall0.98

Poverty rate37.7%

Median income$31,974

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 39.7954, -89.6359 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Town scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.8

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

37.7% poverty · this tract

9.4

Supply constraint

$866 rent vs county FMR

2.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

How South Town compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

95%Socioeconomic
92%Household composition
78%Racial/ethnic minority
96%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
2%Grade C
94%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

32.7%Housing insecurity
26.4%Utility-shutoff threat
45.3%Food insecurity
53.5%SNAP enrollment
22.3%Transit barriers
15.7%No health insurance
21.5%Frequent mental distress
47.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Town

Food insecurity runs 45.3% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 53.5% against 15.2% nationally. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.4/10.

The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 38%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Set annual rent against average income of $31,974 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

70% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10. Against the Sangamon County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.7/10. Average gross rent is $866, 11% below the Springfield average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17167004200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17167004200?

Census tract 17167004200 in the South Town neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17167004200?

Median gross rent is $866/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17167004200?

37.7% of residents in tract 17167004200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,830.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17167004200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 92th, minority 78th, housing 96th.

Is tract 17167004200 considered part of South Town?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17167004200 fall within South Town (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17167004200 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17167004200 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 17167004200 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17167004200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 94% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.