Northgate Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 2.2/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10.

The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 1.2 points above the Sangamon County average of 4.2.

Average gross rent is $813, 17% below the Springfield average. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.8/10. Against average income of $57,443, annual rent is just 17%.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 40% of renters.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.