Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

Northgate Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield

Tract 17167000503 · Sangamon County, IL · pop 3,328 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of $1/10, tract 17167000503 in the Northgate area of Springfield ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,328 residents. That is riskier than roughly 39% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 40% of renter households, a high level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $813 monthly, set against $57,443 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 18% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 11% Owners 82%

Tract context

Occupied units1,427

Renter share18.3%

SVI overall0.53

Poverty rate21.8%

Median income$57,443

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 39.8241, -89.6308 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northgate scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.8

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

21.8% poverty · this tract

5.5

Supply constraint

$813 rent vs county FMR

2.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

How Northgate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

48%Socioeconomic
94%Household composition
38%Racial/ethnic minority
23%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
6%Grade C
42%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Northgate. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.6%Housing insecurity
9.9%Utility-shutoff threat
17.9%Food insecurity
18.8%SNAP enrollment
9.5%Transit barriers
8.4%No health insurance
19.3%Frequent mental distress
33.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northgate

What moves this score most is economic stress at 5.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sangamon County average of 4.9 and below the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 42% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17167000503

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17167000503?

Census tract 17167000503 in the Northgate neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17167000503?

Median gross rent is $813/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17167000503?

21.8% of residents in tract 17167000503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,328.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17167000503?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 94th, minority 38th, housing 23th.

Is tract 17167000503 considered part of Northgate?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17167000503 fall within Northgate (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17167000503 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17167000503 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 17167000503 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17167000503 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 42% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.