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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

South Town Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield

Tract 17167002300 · Sangamon County, IL · pop 1,941 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 17167002300 covers part of the South Town area of Springfield, IL, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,941. Severe burden reaches 37%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 31% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units829
Renter share55.6%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate53.6%
Median income$26,050

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In South Town
Moderate
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#15 of 39 tracts In Springfield
Elevated
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 54 tracts In Sangamon County
Very High
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#1,219 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 39.7809, -89.6392 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Town scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
53.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,050 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
4.0

How South Town compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Town risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0023004.0Springfieldparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county5.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Town

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. SNAP participation runs 54.3% against 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 54%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Annualized rent equals 48% of average household income of $26,050, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 26.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10. Against the Sangamon County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Against Sangamon County at 38.5%, 44% of renters here are cost-burdened.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Springfield. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17167002300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17167002300?

Census tract 17167002300 in the South Town neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17167002300?

Median gross rent is $1,050/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17167002300?

53.6% of residents in tract 17167002300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,941.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17167002300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 76th, minority 74th, housing 19th.
Q5

Is tract 17167002300 considered part of South Town?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17167002300 fall within South Town (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17167002300 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17167002300 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 17167002300 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17167002300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 80% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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