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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Winter Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Freeport

Tract 17177000800 · Stephenson County, IL · pop 2,727 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 17177000800 covers part of the Winter Heights area of Freeport, IL, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,727 residents. 29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 33% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,397
Renter share65.9%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate26.2%
Median income$29,544

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Winter Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In Freeport
Elevated
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 13 tracts In Stephenson County
High
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#851 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Freeport and the region

Centroid at 42.3066, -89.6362 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winter Heights scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Freeport
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
26.2% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$708 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Freeport
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Freeport
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Freeport
6.7

How Winter Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winter Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.0This tracttract 0008004.6Freeportparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county5.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winter Heights

Against Stephenson County at 36.4%, 50% of renters here are cost-burdened. Food insecurity runs 35.6% against 17.8% nationally. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.3/10.

66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. It sits 1.6 points above the Stephenson County average of 4.4.

The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 3.1/10. At $708 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Freeport commands. Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $29,544.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17177000800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17177000800?

Census tract 17177000800 in the Winter Heights neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17177000800?

Median gross rent is $708/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17177000800?

26.2% of residents in tract 17177000800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,727.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17177000800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 57th, minority 65th, housing 78th.
Q5

Is tract 17177000800 considered part of Winter Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17177000800 fall within Winter Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17177000800 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17177000800 compare to Freeport overall?

Tract 17177000800 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Freeport at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Freeport; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Freeport

Top eight tracts in Freeport ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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