Forest Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Joliet

Housing insecurity runs 32.0% against 14.2% nationally. Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.4/10.

Against the Will County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 8.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,310, close to the Joliet average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.