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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

Raynor Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Joliet

Tract 17197881900 · Will County, IL · pop 3,597 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 17197881900, home to 3,597 residents in Raynor Park in Joliet, scores 5.4/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 54% of US census tracts.

About 41% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $648 a month against an average household income of $22,444 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. Renters make up 86% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 50% Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units1,534
Renter share85.8%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate55.8%
Median income$22,444

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Raynor Park
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 46 tracts In Joliet
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 172 tracts In Will County
Very High
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#660 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Joliet and the region

Centroid at 41.5317, -88.0883 · click any tract to drill in

Why Raynor Park scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Joliet
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
55.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$648 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Joliet
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Joliet
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Joliet
3.5

How Raynor Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Raynor Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 881900Joliet: 4.14.1Jolietparent cityCounty: 2.22.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Raynor Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Raynor Park

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Joliet eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Will County average of 4.9 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 37.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 28.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Black and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17197881900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17197881900?

Census tract 17197881900 in the Raynor Park neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17197881900?

Median gross rent is $648/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17197881900?

55.8% of residents in tract 17197881900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,597.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17197881900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 75th, minority 90th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 17197881900 considered part of Raynor Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17197881900 fall within Raynor Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17197881900 struggle to pay rent?

About 37.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 28.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17197881900 compare to Joliet overall?

Tract 17197881900 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Joliet at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Joliet eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17197881900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 15% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Joliet

Top eight tracts in Joliet ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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