Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Joliet Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17197881603 · Will County, IL · pop 3,438

With a score of 5.2/10, tract 17197881603 in Joliet, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Against Will County at 40.4%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score

5.2

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 26% Owners 38%

Tract context

Occupied units1,560

Renter share62.2%

SVI overall0.95

Poverty rate13.8%

Median income$48,945

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Joliet and the region

Centroid at 41.5405, -88.1332 · click any tract to drill in

Why Joliet scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Joliet

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

13.8% poverty · this tract

3.4

Supply constraint

$995 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Joliet

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Joliet

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Joliet

3.5

How Joliet compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

84%Socioeconomic
97%Household composition
79%Racial/ethnic minority
87%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

21.5%Housing insecurity
13.6%Utility-shutoff threat
25.1%Food insecurity
24.1%SNAP enrollment
12.6%Transit barriers
13.3%No health insurance
19.6%Frequent mental distress
30.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Joliet

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. 24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

At $995 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Joliet commands. Against the Will County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. SNAP participation runs 24.1% against 15.2% nationally.

On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. Housing insecurity runs 21.5% against 14.2% nationally.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Joliet. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.5/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17197881603

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17197881603?

Census tract 17197881603 in Joliet scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17197881603?

Median gross rent is $995/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17197881603?

13.8% of residents in tract 17197881603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,438.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17197881603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 97th, minority 79th, housing 87th.

What share of households in tract 17197881603 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17197881603 compare to Joliet overall?

Tract 17197881603 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Joliet at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Joliet eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17197881603 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Joliet

Top eight tracts in Joliet ranked by composite eviction-risk score.