Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally
Silo Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Machesney Park
Tract 17201003805 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 7,367 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 5.5/10, tract 17201003805 in the Silo Ridge neighborhood of Machesney Park ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 7,367 residents. That is riskier than about 57% of US census tracts.
About 47% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,338 a month against an average household income of $78,571 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 15% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,842
Renter share14.5%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate8.4%
Median income$78,571
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Within county
25
th percentile
Low
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Machesney Park and the region
Centroid at 42.3797, -89.0215 · click any tract to drill in
Why Silo Ridge scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Machesney Park
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
8.4% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,338 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Machesney Park
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Machesney Park
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Machesney Park
5.5
How Silo Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 17%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.6%Housing insecurity
- 5.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.3%Food insecurity
- 10.1%SNAP enrollment
- 6.3%Transit barriers
- 6.8%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 28.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Silo Ridge
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 6.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Machesney Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Winnebago County average of 5.0 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 17201003805
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201003805?
Census tract 17201003805 in the Silo Ridge neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17201003805?
Median gross rent is $1,338/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17201003805?
8.4% of residents in tract 17201003805 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,367.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17201003805?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 62th, minority 33th, housing 17th.
Q5
Is tract 17201003805 considered part of Silo Ridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17201003805 fall within Silo Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 17201003805 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17201003805 compare to Machesney Park overall?
Tract 17201003805 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Machesney Park at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Machesney Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Machesney Park
Top eight tracts in Machesney Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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