Marktown Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , East Chicago

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.9/10. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Lake County average of 4.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. SNAP participation runs 23.0% against 15.2% nationally.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lake Co. Gary. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the IN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.