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Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

Watermark Eviction Risk: Lower , Indianapolis

Tract 18097391002 · Marion County, IN · pop 5,735 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 18097391002 sits in the Watermark area of Indianapolis eviction risk, IN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.8/10. It is home to 5,735 residents. At $1,719 a month, rents run 49% over what the rest of Indianapolis commands.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 58% Owners 11%
Tract context
Occupied units3,605
Renter share89.3%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate19.8%
Median income$97,446

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Watermark
Very Low
Within parent city
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#129 of 231 tracts In Indianapolis
Moderate
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#143 of 253 tracts In Marion County
Moderate
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#720 of 1,693 tracts In Indiana
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Indianapolis and the region

Centroid at 39.7751, -86.1607 · click any tract to drill in

Why Watermark scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Indianapolis
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
19.8% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,719 rent vs county FMR
8.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Indianapolis
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Indianapolis
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Indianapolis
6.8

How Watermark compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Watermark risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.8This tracttract 3910024.0Indianapolisparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 910Total filings 2020-21
  • 11.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 7.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.63×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Indianapolis, IN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Watermark. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Watermark

89% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The voucher gap is 34.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10.

Against Marion County at 46.3%, around a third of renters here are cost-burdened. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.4/10.

The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2/10.

Disability prevalence runs 19.0% against 31.5% nationally. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Food insecurity runs 9.6% against 17.8% nationally.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Indianapolis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 18097391002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18097391002?

Census tract 18097391002 in the Watermark neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 18097391002?

Median gross rent is $1,719/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 18097391002?

19.8% of residents in tract 18097391002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,735.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 18097391002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 1th, minority 46th, housing 81th.
Q5

Is tract 18097391002 considered part of Watermark?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18097391002 fall within Watermark (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 18097391002 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.63× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Indianapolis eviction risk, IN), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 18097391002 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 18097391002 compare to Indianapolis overall?

Tract 18097391002 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Indianapolis at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Indianapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 18097391002 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 20% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Indianapolis

Top eight tracts in Indianapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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