Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally
Keller Park Eviction Risk: Lower , South Bend
Tract 18141000301 · St. Joseph County, IN · pop 2,086 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 18141000301 belongs to Keller Park in South Bend, Indiana. It is home to 2,086 residents and scores 4.5/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 23% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 31% of renter households, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,163 a month against an average household income of $67,900 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 34% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,030
Renter share33.7%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate8.7%
Median income$67,900
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
30
th percentile
Low
Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
55
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across South Bend and the region
Centroid at 41.7010, -86.2661 · click any tract to drill in
Why Keller Park scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from South Bend
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
8.7% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,163 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from South Bend
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South Bend
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from South Bend
2.5
How Keller Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 25%Grade B
- 17%Grade C
- 43%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 58Total filings over 1 yrs
- 10.70%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.7%Peak (2015)
- 58Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 221Total filings 2020-21
- 2.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.83×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Richmond, VA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Keller Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.5%Housing insecurity
- 9.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.6%Food insecurity
- 8.6%SNAP enrollment
- 8.0%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 18.6%Frequent mental distress
- 29.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Keller Park
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 5.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from South Bend eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the St. Joseph County average of 5.2 and in line with the Indiana statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 43% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.83x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 18141000301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18141000301?
Census tract 18141000301 in the Keller Park neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 18141000301?
Median gross rent is $1,163/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 18141000301?
8.7% of residents in tract 18141000301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,086.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 18141000301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 25th, minority 52th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 18141000301 considered part of Keller Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18141000301 fall within Keller Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 18141000301?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 58 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 18141000301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.70% of renter households, peaking at 10.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 18141000301 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.83× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Richmond eviction risk, VA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 18141000301 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 18141000301 compare to South Bend overall?
Tract 18141000301 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of South Bend at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South Bend eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 18141000301 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 43% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in South Bend
Top eight tracts in South Bend ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IN
Kennedy Park
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IN
LaSalle Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IN
Monroe Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IN
Near West Side
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IN
Westside
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IN
Rum Village
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IN
Westside
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IN
LaSalle Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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