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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Keller Park Eviction Risk: Lower , South Bend

Tract 18141000301 · St. Joseph County, IN · pop 2,086 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 18141000301 in the Keller Park area of South Bend, IN reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,086 residents. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 23% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,030
Renter share33.7%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate8.7%
Median income$67,900

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Keller Park
Very Low
Within parent city
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#34 of 47 tracts In South Bend
Low
Within county
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#82 of 82 tracts In St. Joseph County
Very Low
Within state
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#1,115 of 1,693 tracts In Indiana
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across South Bend and the region

Centroid at 41.7010, -86.2661 · click any tract to drill in

Why Keller Park scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from South Bend
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
8.7% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,163 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from South Bend
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South Bend
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from South Bend
2.5

How Keller Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Keller Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0003013.2South Bendparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 58Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 10.70%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.7%Peak (2015)
  • 58Filings in 2015 (latest validated)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 221Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.83×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Richmond, VA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Keller Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Keller Park

Against St. Joseph County at 41.2%, 31% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2/10.

The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The filing record is not thin: 58 evictions over 1 years of observation. Against the St. Joseph County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.

Average gross rent is $1,163, 13% above the South Bend average. The worst year on record was 2015, when 10.7% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for South Bend. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 10.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the IN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 18141000301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18141000301?

Census tract 18141000301 in the Keller Park neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 18141000301?

Median gross rent is $1,163/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 18141000301?

8.7% of residents in tract 18141000301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,086.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 18141000301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 25th, minority 52th, housing 85th.
Q5

Is tract 18141000301 considered part of Keller Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18141000301 fall within Keller Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 18141000301?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 58 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 18141000301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.70% of renter households, peaking at 10.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 18141000301 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.83× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Richmond eviction risk, VA), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 18141000301 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 18141000301 compare to South Bend overall?

Tract 18141000301 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of South Bend at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South Bend eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 18141000301 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 43% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in South Bend

Top eight tracts in South Bend ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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