Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally
Keller Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , South Bend
Tract 18141000302 · St. Joseph County, IN · pop 2,709 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Census tract 18141000302 covers Keller Park in South Bend, home to 2,709 residents. For landlords it grades 5.5/10, a moderate reading. On the national scale it ranks #35,874 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 78% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 41% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,085 a month while the average household earns $36,943 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. About 73% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 56%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,169
Renter share72.6%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate24.9%
Median income$36,943
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
75
th percentile
High
Within state
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across South Bend and the region
Centroid at 41.7156, -86.2814 · click any tract to drill in
Why Keller Park scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from South Bend
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
24.9% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$1,085 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from South Bend
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South Bend
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from South Bend
2.5
How Keller Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 62Total filings over 1 yrs
- 6.91%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.9%Peak (2015)
- 62Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 350Total filings 2020-21
- 4.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.82×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Richmond, VA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Keller Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.6%Housing insecurity
- 21.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 33.8%Food insecurity
- 28.0%SNAP enrollment
- 17.0%Transit barriers
- 11.5%No health insurance
- 22.7%Frequent mental distress
- 42.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Keller Park
What moves this score most is economic stress at 6.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from South Bend eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Joseph County average of 5.2 and above the Indiana statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 62 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 6.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.9% of renter households in 2015.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 18141000302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18141000302?
Census tract 18141000302 in the Keller Park neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 18141000302?
Median gross rent is $1,085/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 78% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 18141000302?
24.9% of residents in tract 18141000302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,709.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 18141000302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 93th, minority 80th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 18141000302 considered part of Keller Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18141000302 fall within Keller Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 18141000302?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 62 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 18141000302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.91% of renter households, peaking at 6.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 18141000302 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.82× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Richmond eviction risk, VA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 18141000302 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 18141000302 compare to South Bend overall?
Tract 18141000302 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of South Bend at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South Bend eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 18141000302 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in South Bend
Top eight tracts in South Bend ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IN
Kennedy Park
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IN
LaSalle Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IN
Monroe Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IN
Near West Side
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IN
Westside
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IN
Rum Village
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IN
Westside
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IN
LaSalle Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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