Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally
Brook Run Eviction Risk: Lower , Des Moines
Tract 19153010707 · Polk County, IA · pop 4,159 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 19153010707 belongs to Brook Run in Des Moines, Iowa. It is home to 4,159 residents and scores 5.9/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 72% of US census tracts.
About 64% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,482 monthly, set against $70,065 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 33% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,569
Renter share33.4%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate12.7%
Median income$70,065
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
50
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.6314, -93.4935 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brook Run scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
12.7% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,482 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
4.1
How Brook Run compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 26%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brook Run. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.6%Food insecurity
- 13.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.7%Transit barriers
- 8.2%No health insurance
- 18.6%Frequent mental distress
- 31.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brook Run
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153010707
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153010707?
Census tract 19153010707 in the Brook Run neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153010707?
Median gross rent is $1,482/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153010707?
12.7% of residents in tract 19153010707 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,159.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153010707?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 64th, minority 26th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 19153010707 considered part of Brook Run?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153010707 fall within Brook Run (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 19153010707 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 19153010707 compare to Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153010707 scores 3.1/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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