Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally
Commerce Eviction Risk: Lower , West Des Moines
Tract 19153011027 · Polk County, IA · pop 6,787 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Here is how census tract 19153011027, in the Commerce area of West Des Moines eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.5/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 6,787. That is riskier than roughly 57% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,157 a month against an average household income of $99,684 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units3,220
Renter share28.6%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$99,684
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
23
th percentile
Low
Within state
12
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across West Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.5564, -93.7649 · click any tract to drill in
Why Commerce scores 2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from West Des Moines
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,157 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from West Des Moines
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from West Des Moines
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from West Des Moines
4.2
How Commerce compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 37%Household composition
- 30%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 484Total filings over 10 yrs
- 6.39%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.8%Peak (2013)
- 34Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 209% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Commerce. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.0%Food insecurity
- 7.0%SNAP enrollment
- 5.4%Transit barriers
- 5.3%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 22.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Commerce
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from West Des Moines eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153011027
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153011027?
Census tract 19153011027 in the Commerce neighborhood scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153011027?
Median gross rent is $1,157/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153011027?
6.1% of residents in tract 19153011027 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,787.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153011027?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 37th, minority 30th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 19153011027 considered part of Commerce?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153011027 fall within Commerce (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153011027?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 484 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153011027 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.39% of renter households, peaking at 7.8% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19153011027 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19153011027 compare to West Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153011027 scores 2/10, lower than the parent city of West Des Moines at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from West Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in West Des Moines
Top eight tracts in West Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
Frisbie Park
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IA
Frisbie Park
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IA
19153011114
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IA
19153011113
2.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IA
Commerce
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IA
19049050813
2.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IA
19049050815
2.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IA
19153011112
2.1
/ 10 · Low
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