Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Mclellan Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Davenport
Tract 19163011500 · Scott County, IA · pop 2,094 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Mclellan Heights in Davenport anchors census tract 19163011500, which lands at 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #59,783 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 41% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $928 monthly, set against $60,542 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 42% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units911
Renter share42.4%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate14.4%
Median income$60,542
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Davenport and the region
Centroid at 41.5319, -90.5499 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mclellan Heights scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Davenport
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
14.4% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$928 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Davenport
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Davenport
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Davenport
2.5
How Mclellan Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 76%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 23%Grade B
- 35%Grade C
- 10%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 286Total filings over 6 yrs
- 11.02%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.5%Peak (2004)
- 29Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 55% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mclellan Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.3%Housing insecurity
- 10.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.4%Food insecurity
- 16.5%SNAP enrollment
- 9.7%Transit barriers
- 8.7%No health insurance
- 19.0%Frequent mental distress
- 27.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mclellan Heights
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 4.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Davenport eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Scott County average of 4.8 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 19163011500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19163011500?
Census tract 19163011500 in the Mclellan Heights neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19163011500?
Median gross rent is $928/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19163011500?
14.4% of residents in tract 19163011500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,094.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19163011500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 20th, minority 40th, housing 46th.
Q5
Is tract 19163011500 considered part of Mclellan Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19163011500 fall within Mclellan Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19163011500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 286 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 19163011500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.02% of renter households, peaking at 13.5% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19163011500 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19163011500 compare to Davenport overall?
Tract 19163011500 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Davenport at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Davenport eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 19163011500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 10% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Davenport
Top eight tracts in Davenport ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
College Square Historic District
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IA
Hamburg Historic District
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IA
Riverview Terrace Historic District
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IA
College Square Historic District
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Hamburg Historic District
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19163012501
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Windor Crest Heights
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
College Square Historic District
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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