Davenport Eviction Risk: Moderate

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.3/10. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.5/10. Against the Scott County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.

The filing record is not thin: 282 evictions over 6 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2006 at 14.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 9.4% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the IA average is 3.7, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $989, close to the Davenport average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.