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Census Tract · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21111001500 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 3,375

For landlords sizing up Louisville, census tract 21111001500 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.5/10. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 48% of renter households, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $962 a month against an average household income of $30,473 a year, roughly 38% of income at the averages. About 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 31% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,225
Renter share59.5%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate41.8%
Median income$30,473

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Very High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#184 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
High
National
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#15,522 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2308, -85.8027 · click any tract to drill in

Why Louisville scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
41.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$962 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0

How Louisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Louisville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 001500Louisville: 3.23.2Louisvilleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,398Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 17.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.2%Peak (2015)
  • 146Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 211110015002002: 72 filings (16.71/100 renter HHs)2003: 91 filings (21.11/100 renter HHs)2004: 76 filings (17.63/100 renter HHs)2005: 92 filings (18.18/100 renter HHs)2006: 87 filings (17.19/100 renter HHs)2007: 93 filings (18.38/100 renter HHs)2008: 108 filings (21.34/100 renter HHs)2009: 96 filings (18.97/100 renter HHs)2010: 86 filings (11.96/100 renter HHs)2011: 92 filings (13.37/100 renter HHs)2012: 107 filings (15.55/100 renter HHs)2013: 134 filings (19.48/100 renter HHs)2014: 118 filings (17.15/100 renter HHs)2015: 146 filings (21.22/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 103% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Louisville

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,398 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 17.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 21.2% of renter households in 2015.

Part of this tract, about 3% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111001500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111001500?

Census tract 21111001500 in Louisville scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111001500?

Median gross rent is $962/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111001500?

41.8% of residents in tract 21111001500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,375.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111001500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 81th, minority 96th, housing 57th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111001500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,398 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111001500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.73% of renter households, peaking at 21.2% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 21111001500 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111001500 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 21111001500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 3% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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