Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Highlands Douglass Neighborhood Eviction Risk: Lower , Louisville

Tract 21111009700 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 2,705 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 21111009700 covers part of the Highlands Douglass Neighborhood area of Louisville, KY, and scores 3.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,705 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.2/10.

Risk score

3.1

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 16% Owners 70%

Tract context

Occupied units1,202

Renter share30.1%

SVI overall0.25

Poverty rate3.6%

Median income$70,676

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2199, -85.6646 · click any tract to drill in

Why Highlands Douglass Neighborhood scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Louisville

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.0

State political climate

Kentucky legislature & governorship

2.1

Economic stress

3.6% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,386 rent vs county FMR

5.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Louisville

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Louisville

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Louisville

5.0

How Highlands Douglass Neighborhood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

15%Socioeconomic
32%Household composition
13%Racial/ethnic minority
57%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

15%Grade A
20%Grade B
32%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

129Total filings over 14 yrs
2.59%Avg annual filing rate
3.4%Peak (2008)
6Filings in 2015 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2002 to 2015

Filings dropped 40% over the past 14 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Highlands Douglass Neighborhood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Highlands Douglass Neighborhood

Average gross rent is $1,386, 37% above the Louisville average. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.

25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

It sits 0.9 points below the Jefferson County average of 4.0. The filing record is not thin: 129 evictions over 14 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2008 at 3.4% of renter households.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Louisville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.6% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 22nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111009700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111009700?

Census tract 21111009700 in the Highlands Douglass Neighborhood neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 21111009700?

Median gross rent is $1,386/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111009700?

3.6% of residents in tract 21111009700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,705.

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111009700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 32th, minority 13th, housing 57th.

Is tract 21111009700 considered part of Highlands Douglass Neighborhood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111009700 fall within Highlands Douglass Neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111009700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 129 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111009700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.59% of renter households, peaking at 3.4% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

How does tract 21111009700 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111009700 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Louisville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 21111009700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org