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Neighborhood · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally

Highlands Douglass Neighborhood Eviction Risk: Lower , Louisville

Tract 21111009600 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 4,913 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 21111009600 (the Highlands Douglass Neighborhood neighborhood of Louisville, Kentucky) comes in at 5.5/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 57% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 48% of renter households, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $981 monthly, set against $102,333 in average yearly household income, roughly 12% of income at the averages. About 9% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 5% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units2,032
Renter share9.1%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$102,333

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 6 tracts In Highlands Douglass Neighborhood
Moderate
Within parent city
1 th percentile
Rank, 1st percentileLowHigh
#89 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Very Low
Within county
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#184 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Very Low
Within state
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#1,168 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2124, -85.6876 · click any tract to drill in

Why Highlands Douglass Neighborhood scores 2.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$981 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0

How Highlands Douglass Neighborhood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Highlands Douglass Neighborhood risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.42.4This tracttract 009600Louisville: 3.23.2Louisvilleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 57Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 4.80%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.0%Peak (2005)
  • 7Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 211110096002002: 3 filings (1.44/100 renter HHs)2003: 1 filings (0.48/100 renter HHs)2004: 3 filings (1.44/100 renter HHs)2005: 10 filings (18.04/100 renter HHs)2006: 5 filings (9.02/100 renter HHs)2007: 7 filings (12.63/100 renter HHs)2008: 5 filings (9.02/100 renter HHs)2009: 3 filings (5.41/100 renter HHs)2010: 2 filings (0.91/100 renter HHs)2011: 4 filings (1.97/100 renter HHs)2012: 5 filings (2.46/100 renter HHs)2013: 1 filings (0.49/100 renter HHs)2014: 1 filings (0.49/100 renter HHs)2015: 7 filings (3.45/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 133% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Highlands Douglass Neighborhood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Highlands Douglass Neighborhood

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 57 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 4.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 18.0% of renter households in 2005.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111009600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111009600?

Census tract 21111009600 in the Highlands Douglass Neighborhood neighborhood scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111009600?

Median gross rent is $981/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111009600?

3.4% of residents in tract 21111009600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,913.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111009600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 44th, minority 11th, housing 37th.
Q5

Is tract 21111009600 considered part of Highlands Douglass Neighborhood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111009600 fall within Highlands Douglass Neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111009600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 57 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111009600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.80% of renter households, peaking at 18.0% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 21111009600 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111009600 scores 2.4/10, lower than the parent city of Louisville at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 21111009600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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