Within parent city
91
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 21111004500 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 3,329 · 98% of tract blocks fall in Louisville
Tract 21111004500 sits in Louisville eviction risk, KY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Population here is 3,329. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,414
Renter share42.7%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate27.4%
Median income$54,545
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Louisville and the region
Centroid at 38.1574, -85.7834 · click any tract to drill in
Why Louisville scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
27.4% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$1,118 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0
How Louisville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 21%Grade C
- 7%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,598Total filings over 14 yrs
- 21.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 25.0%Peak (2009)
- 110Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Louisville
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.2/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Jefferson County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.1/10. Court records carry 1,598 eviction filings across 14 observed years. Average gross rent is $1,118, 11% above the Louisville average.
The worst year on record was 2009, when 25.0% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Louisville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 21.7% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 21111004500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111004500?
Census tract 21111004500 in Louisville scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21111004500?
Median gross rent is $1,118/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21111004500?
27.4% of residents in tract 21111004500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,329.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21111004500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 94th, minority 49th, housing 88th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111004500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,598 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111004500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.69% of renter households, peaking at 25.0% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 21111004500 compare to Louisville overall?
Tract 21111004500 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7
Was tract 21111004500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 7% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Louisville
Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · KY
Russell
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
Russell
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
Whiskey Row
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
21111007102
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
Russell
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
21111002800
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
21111011800
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
Whiskey Row
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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