Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #77,226 of 84,120 nationally
The Downs Eviction Risk: Lower , Oak Hill
Tract 23005017305 · Cumberland County, ME · pop 5,498 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
How risky is the The Downs neighborhood of Oak Hill for landlords? Census tract 23005017305 scores 4.4/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 20th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 40% of renter households, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,746 a month against an average household income of $104,148 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units2,559
Renter share45.2%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$104,148
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
4
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oak Hill and the region
Centroid at 43.5978, -70.3577 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Downs scores 1.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oak Hill
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,746 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Hill
3.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Hill
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Hill
3.1
How The Downs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 16%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.6%Housing insecurity
- 7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.0%Food insecurity
- 12.6%SNAP enrollment
- 7.6%Transit barriers
- 7.2%No health insurance
- 17.7%Frequent mental distress
- 27.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Downs
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 5.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Oak Hill eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cumberland County average of 4.5 and below the Maine statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 23005017305
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23005017305?
Census tract 23005017305 in the The Downs neighborhood scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 23005017305?
Median gross rent is $1,746/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 23005017305?
4.0% of residents in tract 23005017305 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,498.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 23005017305?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 16th, minority 15th, housing 56th.
Q5
Is tract 23005017305 considered part of The Downs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23005017305 fall within The Downs (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 23005017305 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 23005017305 compare to Oak Hill overall?
Tract 23005017305 scores 1.7/10, lower than the parent city of Oak Hill at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Hill eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oak Hill
Top eight tracts in Oak Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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