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Census Tract · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Gardiner Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 23011010900 · Kennebec County, ME · pop 1,688

23011010900 is a census tract in Gardiner, ME. It scores 5.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,688. 36% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 19% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units788
Renter share40.4%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate23.4%
Median income$44,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Gardiner
Very High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#7 of 36 tracts In Kennebec County
High
Within state
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#50 of 401 tracts In Maine
High
National
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#20,506 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gardiner and the region

Centroid at 44.2249, -69.7984 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gardiner scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gardiner
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
23.4% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$847 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gardiner
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gardiner
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gardiner
5.7

How Gardiner compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Gardiner risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.8This tracttract 0109004.4Gardinerparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gardiner

54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Kennebec County average of 37.6%. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 2.3/10.

It sits 1.5 points above the Kennebec County average of 4.3. At $847 a month, rents run 24% under what the rest of Gardiner commands.

The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. SNAP participation runs 26.7% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7/10.

Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the ME average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $44,500. 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 23011010900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23011010900?

Census tract 23011010900 in Gardiner scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 23011010900?

Median gross rent is $847/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 23011010900?

23.4% of residents in tract 23011010900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,688.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 23011010900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 93th, minority 12th, housing 96th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 23011010900 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 23011010900 compare to Gardiner overall?

Tract 23011010900 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Gardiner at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gardiner eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gardiner

Top eight tracts in Gardiner ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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