Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally
Winthrop Center Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 23011014002 · Kennebec County, ME · pop 2,215 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 23011014002 covers the Winthrop Center neighborhood of Winthrop in Maine. Home to 2,215 residents, it scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 46th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 88% of renter households, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $948 a month while the average household earns $83,423 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. Renters make up 9% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,044
Renter share8.6%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$83,423
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Winthrop and the region
Centroid at 44.3043, -69.9330 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winthrop Center scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Winthrop
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$948 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winthrop
2.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winthrop
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winthrop
5.4
How Winthrop Center compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 0%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.6%Food insecurity
- 9.6%SNAP enrollment
- 6.0%Transit barriers
- 5.9%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 30.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winthrop Center
The score leans hardest on housing court bias at 5.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winthrop eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Kennebec County average of 5.2 and above the Maine statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 23011014002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23011014002?
Census tract 23011014002 in the Winthrop Center neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 23011014002?
Median gross rent is $948/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 88% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 23011014002?
9.6% of residents in tract 23011014002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,215.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 23011014002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 5th, minority 0th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 23011014002 considered part of Winthrop Center?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23011014002 fall within Winthrop Center (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 23011014002 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 23011014002 compare to Winthrop overall?
Tract 23011014002 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Winthrop at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winthrop eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Winthrop
Top eight tracts in Winthrop ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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