Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally
Springvale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sanford
Tract 23031030102 · York County, ME · pop 2,291 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 23031030102 (the Springvale neighborhood of Sanford, Maine) comes in at 5.1/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 42nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 31% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,128 a month while the average household earns $54,340 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,030
Renter share40.7%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate21.7%
Median income$54,340
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
64
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sanford and the region
Centroid at 43.4582, -70.7881 · click any tract to drill in
Why Springvale scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sanford
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
21.7% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,128 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sanford
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sanford
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sanford
5.8
How Springvale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 7%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Springvale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.8%Housing insecurity
- 10.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.6%Food insecurity
- 20.7%SNAP enrollment
- 10.1%Transit barriers
- 9.6%No health insurance
- 20.1%Frequent mental distress
- 37.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Springvale
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Sanford eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the York County average of 4.8 and in line with the Maine statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 23031030102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23031030102?
Census tract 23031030102 in the Springvale neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 23031030102?
Median gross rent is $1,128/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 23031030102?
21.7% of residents in tract 23031030102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,291.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 23031030102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 77th, minority 7th, housing 31th.
Q5
Is tract 23031030102 considered part of Springvale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23031030102 fall within Springvale (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 23031030102 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 23031030102 compare to Sanford overall?
Tract 23031030102 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Sanford at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sanford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sanford
Top eight tracts in Sanford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related