Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Springvale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sanford
Tract 23031030102 · York County, ME · pop 2,291 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 23031030102 sits in the Springvale area of Sanford eviction risk, ME, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. Population here is 2,291. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,030
Renter share40.7%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate21.7%
Median income$54,340
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sanford and the region
Centroid at 43.4582, -70.7881 · click any tract to drill in
Why Springvale scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sanford
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
21.7% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,128 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sanford
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sanford
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sanford
5.8
How Springvale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 7%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Springvale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.8%Housing insecurity
- 10.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.6%Food insecurity
- 20.7%SNAP enrollment
- 10.1%Transit barriers
- 9.6%No health insurance
- 20.1%Frequent mental distress
- 37.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Springvale
The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Cost burden runs 31% here against 39.3% across York County. The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
It sits 1.2 points above the York County average of 4.3. Nationally it ranks #23,808 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the ME average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,128, close to the Sanford average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $54,340.
41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 23031030102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23031030102?
Census tract 23031030102 in the Springvale neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 23031030102?
Median gross rent is $1,128/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 23031030102?
21.7% of residents in tract 23031030102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,291.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 23031030102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 77th, minority 7th, housing 31th.
Q5
Is tract 23031030102 considered part of Springvale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23031030102 fall within Springvale (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 23031030102 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 23031030102 compare to Sanford overall?
Tract 23031030102 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Sanford at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sanford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sanford
Top eight tracts in Sanford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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