Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Sanford Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 23031030204 · York County, ME · pop 2,948
Census tract 23031030204 covers part of Sanford, ME, and scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,948 residents. Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units857
Renter share44.9%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate20.5%
Median income$57,147
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
90
th percentile
High
Within state
82
th percentile
High
National
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sanford and the region
Centroid at 43.4422, -70.7466 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sanford scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sanford
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
20.5% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,269 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sanford
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sanford
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sanford
5.8
How Sanford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.4%Housing insecurity
- 11.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.7%Food insecurity
- 24.6%SNAP enrollment
- 11.6%Transit barriers
- 9.9%No health insurance
- 21.6%Frequent mental distress
- 37.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sanford
Against York County at 39.3%, 52% of renters here are cost-burdened. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.4/10.
It sits 1.2 points above the York County average of 4.3. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. SNAP participation runs 24.6% against 15.2% nationally.
Average gross rent is $1,269, 10% above the Sanford average. That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.1/10. Statewide the ME average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $57,147.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 23031030204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23031030204?
Census tract 23031030204 in Sanford scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 23031030204?
Median gross rent is $1,269/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 23031030204?
20.5% of residents in tract 23031030204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,948.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 23031030204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 75th, minority 25th, housing 67th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 23031030204 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 23031030204 compare to Sanford overall?
Tract 23031030204 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Sanford at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sanford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sanford
Top eight tracts in Sanford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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