Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Sanford Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 23031030204 · York County, ME · pop 2,948
With a score of 5.6/10, tract 23031030204 in Sanford ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,948 residents. That is riskier than about 61% of US census tracts.
52% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,269 a month against an average household income of $57,147 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units857
Renter share44.9%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate20.5%
Median income$57,147
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
National
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sanford and the region
Centroid at 43.4422, -70.7466 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sanford scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sanford
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
20.5% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,269 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sanford
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sanford
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sanford
5.8
How Sanford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.4%Housing insecurity
- 11.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.7%Food insecurity
- 24.6%SNAP enrollment
- 11.6%Transit barriers
- 9.9%No health insurance
- 21.6%Frequent mental distress
- 37.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sanford
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Sanford eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the York County average of 4.8 and above the Maine statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 14.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 23031030204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23031030204?
Census tract 23031030204 in Sanford scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 23031030204?
Median gross rent is $1,269/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 23031030204?
20.5% of residents in tract 23031030204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,948.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 23031030204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 75th, minority 25th, housing 67th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 23031030204 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 23031030204 compare to Sanford overall?
Tract 23031030204 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Sanford at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sanford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sanford
Top eight tracts in Sanford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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