Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally
South Sanford Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 23031030205 · York County, ME · pop 3,156 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Here is how census tract 23031030205, in the South Sanford area of Sanford eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.4/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,156. That is riskier than about 53% of US census tracts.
About 60% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,119 monthly, set against $58,802 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 46% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,351
Renter share45.9%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate12.6%
Median income$58,802
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
46
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sanford and the region
Centroid at 43.4301, -70.7442 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Sanford scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sanford
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
12.6% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,119 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sanford
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sanford
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sanford
5.8
How South Sanford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.5%Housing insecurity
- 9.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.0%Food insecurity
- 21.5%SNAP enrollment
- 10.7%Transit barriers
- 11.4%No health insurance
- 20.6%Frequent mental distress
- 39.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Sanford
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Sanford eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the York County average of 4.8 and above the Maine statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 23031030205
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23031030205?
Census tract 23031030205 in the South Sanford neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 23031030205?
Median gross rent is $1,119/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 23031030205?
12.6% of residents in tract 23031030205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,156.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 23031030205?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 86th, minority 15th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 23031030205 considered part of South Sanford?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23031030205 fall within South Sanford (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 23031030205 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 23031030205 compare to Sanford overall?
Tract 23031030205 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Sanford at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sanford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sanford
Top eight tracts in Sanford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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