Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
South Sanford Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 23031030205 · York County, ME · pop 3,156 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 23031030205 sits in the South Sanford area of Sanford eviction risk, ME, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. Against York County at 39.3%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,351
Renter share45.9%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate12.6%
Median income$58,802
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sanford and the region
Centroid at 43.4301, -70.7442 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Sanford scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sanford
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
12.6% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,119 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sanford
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sanford
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sanford
5.8
How South Sanford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.5%Housing insecurity
- 9.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.0%Food insecurity
- 21.5%SNAP enrollment
- 10.7%Transit barriers
- 11.4%No health insurance
- 20.6%Frequent mental distress
- 39.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Sanford
30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.
It sits 1.0 points above the York County average of 4.3. Running cool, economic stress reads 3.1/10.
That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,119, close to the Sanford average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $58,802.
46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 23031030205
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23031030205?
Census tract 23031030205 in the South Sanford neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 23031030205?
Median gross rent is $1,119/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 23031030205?
12.6% of residents in tract 23031030205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,156.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 23031030205?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 86th, minority 15th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 23031030205 considered part of South Sanford?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23031030205 fall within South Sanford (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 23031030205 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 23031030205 compare to Sanford overall?
Tract 23031030205 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Sanford at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sanford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sanford
Top eight tracts in Sanford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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