Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Turf Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate , Pasadena
Tract 24003731312 ·
Anne Arundel County, MD · pop 4,219 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
24003731312 is a census tract in the Turf Valley area of Pasadena, MD. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,219 residents. Against Anne Arundel County at 44.5%, 95% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%Stable renters 0%Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,495
Renter share8.6%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$117,303
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#3 of 3 tracts In Turf Valley
Very Low
Within parent city
17th percentile
#6 of 7 tracts In Pasadena
Very Low
Within county
45th percentile
#71 of 129 tracts In Anne Arundel County
Moderate
Within state
37th percentile
#918 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Pasadena and the region
Centroid at 39.1358, -76.5436 · click any tract to drill in
Why Turf Valley scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pasadena
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,236 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pasadena
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pasadena
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pasadena
5.8
How Turf Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
34%Socioeconomic
52%Household composition
41%Racial/ethnic minority
21%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Turf Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
12.0%Housing insecurity
7.5%Utility-shutoff threat
14.1%Food insecurity
10.7%SNAP enrollment
7.3%Transit barriers
8.5%No health insurance
17.6%Frequent mental distress
29.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Turf Valley
The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.9/10.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8.9/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.1/10. The voucher gap is 13.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24003731312
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24003731312?
Census tract 24003731312 in the Turf Valley neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24003731312?
Median gross rent is $2,236/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 95% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24003731312?
4.4% of residents in tract 24003731312 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,219.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24003731312?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 52th, minority 41th, housing 21th.
Q5
Is tract 24003731312 considered part of Turf Valley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24003731312 fall within Turf Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24003731312 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24003731312 compare to Pasadena overall?
Tract 24003731312 scores 4.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Pasadena at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pasadena eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Pasadena
Top eight tracts in Pasadena ranked by composite eviction-risk score.