Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Provinces Eviction Risk: Elevated , Fort Meade

Tract 24003740104 · Anne Arundel County, MD · pop 8,849 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

24003740104 is a census tract in the Provinces area of Severn, MD. It scores 6/10 for landlords. Population here is 8,849. Cost burden runs 27% here against 44.5% across Anne Arundel County.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 19% Owners 74%

Tract context

Occupied units3,049

Renter share26.7%

SVI overall0.25

Poverty rate9.2%

Median income$128,015

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Meade and the region

Centroid at 39.1295, -76.7150 · click any tract to drill in

Why Provinces scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Fort Meade

8.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

9.2% poverty · this tract

2.3

Supply constraint

$2,221 rent vs county FMR

6.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Fort Meade

5.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Fort Meade

6.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Fort Meade

4.5

How Provinces compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

40%Socioeconomic
37%Household composition
80%Racial/ethnic minority
5%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Provinces. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.8%Housing insecurity
9.4%Utility-shutoff threat
16.2%Food insecurity
12.2%SNAP enrollment
8.2%Transit barriers
7.5%No health insurance
15.6%Frequent mental distress
25.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Provinces

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.9/10. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.9/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.3/10.

It sits 0.9 points above the Anne Arundel County average of 5.1. The voucher gap is 13.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 3.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $2,221, close to the Severn average.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $128,015.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 24003740104

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24003740104?

Census tract 24003740104 in the Provinces neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24003740104?

Median gross rent is $2,221/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24003740104?

9.2% of residents in tract 24003740104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,849.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24003740104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 37th, minority 80th, housing 5th.

Is tract 24003740104 considered part of Provinces?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24003740104 fall within Provinces (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24003740104 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24003740104 compare to Fort Meade overall?

Tract 24003740104 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Meade at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Meade; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Meade

Top eight tracts in Fort Meade ranked by composite eviction-risk score.