Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Provinces Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fort Meade
Tract 24003740602 · Anne Arundel County, MD · pop 3,424 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
24003740602 is a census tract in the Provinces area of Fort Meade, MD. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,424. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.9/10.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 63%
Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units1,047
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate6.5%
Median income$114,792
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
48
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fort Meade and the region
Centroid at 39.1186, -76.7351 · click any tract to drill in
Why Provinces scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fort Meade
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
6.5% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$2,342 rent vs county FMR
6.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Meade
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Meade
9.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Meade
4.6
How Provinces compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Provinces. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.6%Housing insecurity
- 8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.7%Food insecurity
- 9.9%SNAP enrollment
- 7.8%Transit barriers
- 8.1%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 22.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Provinces
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.9/10. 100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.6/10. Against Anne Arundel County at 44.5%, 37% of renters here are cost-burdened.
The voucher gap is 19.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 5.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. It tracks the Anne Arundel County average of 5.1 closely. Average gross rent is $2,342, close to the Fort Meade average.
Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $114,792.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24003740602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24003740602?
Census tract 24003740602 in the Provinces neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24003740602?
Median gross rent is $2,342/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24003740602?
6.5% of residents in tract 24003740602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,424.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24003740602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 72th, minority 80th, housing 39th.
Q5
Is tract 24003740602 considered part of Provinces?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24003740602 fall within Provinces (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24003740602 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24003740602 compare to Fort Meade overall?
Tract 24003740602 scores 5.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Fort Meade at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Meade; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fort Meade
Top eight tracts in Fort Meade ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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