Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally
Gray Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dundalk
Tract 24005420100 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 3,475 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Gray Manor in Dundalk anchors census tract 24005420100, which lands at 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #2,103 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,760 a month while the average household earns $80,114 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 17% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,311
Renter share16.9%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate8.0%
Median income$80,114
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dundalk and the region
Centroid at 39.2787, -76.4986 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gray Manor scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dundalk
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
8.0% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,760 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dundalk
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dundalk
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dundalk
8.1
How Gray Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.8%Housing insecurity
- 7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.4%Food insecurity
- 11.5%SNAP enrollment
- 7.9%Transit barriers
- 9.9%No health insurance
- 18.3%Frequent mental distress
- 30.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gray Manor
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dundalk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Baltimore County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24005420100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005420100?
Census tract 24005420100 in the Gray Manor neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24005420100?
Median gross rent is $1,760/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24005420100?
8.0% of residents in tract 24005420100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,475.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24005420100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 60th, minority 31th, housing 12th.
Q5
Is tract 24005420100 considered part of Gray Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005420100 fall within Gray Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24005420100 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24005420100 compare to Dundalk overall?
Tract 24005420100 scores 4.6/10, lower than the parent city of Dundalk at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dundalk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dundalk
Top eight tracts in Dundalk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MD
Saint Helena
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Defense Heights
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Chesterwood
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Sparrows Point
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Manchester
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Saint Helena
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Gray Haven
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Turner Station
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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