Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Valecrest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Essex

Tract 24005450300 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 3,383 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Tract 24005450300 covers the Valecrest area of Essex in Maryland. Home to 3,383 residents, it scores 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 89% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 31% of renter households, a high level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $343 monthly, set against $79,205 in average yearly household income, roughly 5% of income at the averages. About 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.3

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 22% Owners 68%

Tract context

Occupied units1,318

Renter share31.3%

SVI overall0.44

Poverty rate9.3%

Median income$79,205

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Essex and the region

Centroid at 39.3185, -76.4674 · click any tract to drill in

Why Valecrest scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Essex

8.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.4

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

9.3% poverty · this tract

2.3

Supply constraint

$343 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Essex

7.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Essex

8.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Essex

6.8

How Valecrest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

40%Socioeconomic
32%Household composition
31%Racial/ethnic minority
65%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.5%Housing insecurity
8.6%Utility-shutoff threat
19.0%Food insecurity
15.0%SNAP enrollment
9.3%Transit barriers
11.2%No health insurance
18.5%Frequent mental distress
33.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Valecrest

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Essex eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Baltimore County average of 6.7 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005450300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005450300?

Census tract 24005450300 in the Valecrest neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24005450300?

Median gross rent is $343/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005450300?

9.3% of residents in tract 24005450300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,383.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005450300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 32th, minority 31th, housing 65th.

Is tract 24005450300 considered part of Valecrest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005450300 fall within Valecrest (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24005450300 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24005450300 compare to Essex overall?

Tract 24005450300 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of Essex at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Essex eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Essex

Top eight tracts in Essex ranked by composite eviction-risk score.