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Neighborhood · Essex, MD

Valecrest Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 3,383 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.6/10 · range 6.6–6.6

Valecrest maps to a single census tract in Essex, MD and houses 3,383 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6.6/10, in the Elevated tier. At $343 a month, rents sit 74% under what the rest of Essex commands.

The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8.4/10.

31% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. Running cool is economic stress, at 2.3/10.

Severe burden reaches 8%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Among the 11 mapped neighborhoods of Essex, it ranks #7 by risk, the middle third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Middlesex and Silver Manor.

Rent takes 5% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 6.6/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Valecrest vs Essex How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
30.8% -9%
Essex: 33.8%
Average gross rent
$343 -74%
Essex: $1,319
Average HH income
$79,205 +18%
Essex: $67,082
Poverty rate
9.3% -27%
Essex: 12.7%
Renter share
31.3% -19%
Essex: 38.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Valecrest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.6–6.6

Why Valecrest scores 6.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts
8.9
Rent control risk
31% of income on rent · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
31% renter households · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Economic stress
9.3% below poverty line · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Valecrest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Valecrest score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.6ValecrestNeighborhood6.3Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Valecrest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24005450300 6.6 3,383 31% $343
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 44

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 41%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 32%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 31%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 65%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Valecrest

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Valecrest

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Valecrest?

Valecrest scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Valecrest compare to Essex overall?

Valecrest scores 0.3 points higher than Essex overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 31% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $343 vs $1,319.
Q3

What is the average rent in Valecrest?

Average gross rent in Valecrest is $343/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Valecrest residents are renters?

31% of Valecrest households are renter-occupied (vs 39% in Essex). The neighborhood has 3,383 residents.
Q5

Is Valecrest a high social-vulnerability area?

Valecrest sits in the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Valecrest for landlords?

Valecrest carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Essex as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Valecrest?

Valecrest has 3,334 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (78.2%), Hispanic / Latino (12.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Valecrest

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Essex

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Valecrest.

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