Neighborhood · Essex, MD

Valecrest Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,383 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10 · range 4.3–4.3

Valecrest is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Essex with 1 census tract and a population of 3,383 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 31% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 8% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $343/month sits 74% lower than the Essex citywide average ($1,319).

Risk score

4.3

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Valecrest vs Essex How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

30.8% -9%

Essex: 33.8%

Average gross rent

$343 -74%

Essex: $1,319

Average HH income

$79,205 +18%

Essex: $67,082

Poverty rate

9.3% -27%

Essex: 12.7%

Renter share

31.3% -19%

Essex: 38.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Valecrest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.3–4.3

Why Valecrest scores 4.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts

6.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts

8.9

Rent control risk

31% of income on rent · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts

7.4

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts

5.6

Tenant organizing strength

31% renter households · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts

8.4

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Economic stress

9.3% below poverty line · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Risk score comparison

Valecrest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Valecrest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
24005450300	4.3	3,383	31%	$343

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 44

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 41%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 32%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 31%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 65%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Valecrest

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

14.5%Housing insecurity
8.6%Utility shutoff threat
19.0%Food insecurity
15.0%SNAP enrollment
11.2%No health insurance
33.3%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Valecrest

What is the eviction-risk score for Valecrest?

Valecrest scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Valecrest compare to Essex overall?

Valecrest scores 2.1 points lower than Essex overall (6.4/10). Renters spend 31% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $343 vs $1,319.

What is the average rent in Valecrest?

Average gross rent in Valecrest is $343/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Valecrest residents are renters?

31% of Valecrest households are renter-occupied (vs 39% in Essex). The neighborhood has 3,383 residents.

Is Valecrest a high social-vulnerability area?

Valecrest sits in the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Valecrest for landlords?

Valecrest carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Essex as a whole (6.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Valecrest?

Valecrest has 3,334 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (78.2%), Hispanic / Latino (12.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Valecrest

5.1 Glenmar Manor 2 tracts · pop 7,230 2.9 Kenwood 4 tracts · pop 13,465 5.3 Battle Grove 2 tracts · pop 7,814 5.2 Gray Haven 2 tracts · pop 3,580 4.9 Eastfield 2 tracts · pop 6,182 5.4 Chesterwood 2 tracts · pop 10,734

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Essex

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Valecrest.

4.4 Middlesex 1 tracts · pop 3,815 4 Silver Manor 1 tracts · pop 2,417 4.7 Essexshire Gate 1 tracts · pop 3,869 4.8 Marine Oak Village 1 tracts · pop 4,458 4.9 Back River Highlands 1 tracts · pop 3,260 3.3 Island View Beach 1 tracts · pop 1,822

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