Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally
Goldentree Eviction Risk: Elevated , Middle River
Tract 24005451200 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 4,160 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 24005451200 covers part of the Goldentree area of Middle River, MD, and scores 6.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,160 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 10/10.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,655
Renter share13.4%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate10.5%
Median income$74,063
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middle River and the region
Centroid at 39.3372, -76.4699 · click any tract to drill in
Why Goldentree scores 6.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middle River
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
10.5% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,444 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middle River
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middle River
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middle River
8.0
How Goldentree compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 44%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.5%Housing insecurity
- 7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.2%Food insecurity
- 11.5%SNAP enrollment
- 7.7%Transit barriers
- 9.4%No health insurance
- 17.4%Frequent mental distress
- 30.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Goldentree
Running hot, local political climate reads 8.9/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.9/10.
It sits 1.1 points above the Baltimore County average of 5.7. The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
At $1,444 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Middle River commands. Nationally it ranks #13,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 47% of renters. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $74,063.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24005451200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005451200?
Census tract 24005451200 in the Goldentree neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24005451200?
Median gross rent is $1,444/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24005451200?
10.5% of residents in tract 24005451200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,160.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24005451200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 44th, minority 39th, housing 39th.
Q5
Is tract 24005451200 considered part of Goldentree?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005451200 fall within Goldentree (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24005451200 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24005451200 compare to Middle River overall?
Tract 24005451200 scores 6.8/10, higher than the parent city of Middle River at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middle River eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middle River
Top eight tracts in Middle River ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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