Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
Goldentree Eviction Risk: Moderate , Middle River
Tract 24005451200 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 4,160 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Goldentree in Middle River is where census tract 24005451200 sits, home to 4,160 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 7.2/10. On the national scale it ranks #2,754 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 47% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,444 monthly, set against $74,063 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 13% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,655
Renter share13.4%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate10.5%
Median income$74,063
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
75
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middle River and the region
Centroid at 39.3372, -76.4699 · click any tract to drill in
Why Goldentree scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middle River
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
10.5% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,444 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middle River
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middle River
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middle River
8.0
How Goldentree compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 44%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.5%Housing insecurity
- 7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.2%Food insecurity
- 11.5%SNAP enrollment
- 7.7%Transit barriers
- 9.4%No health insurance
- 17.4%Frequent mental distress
- 30.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Goldentree
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Middle River eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Baltimore County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24005451200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005451200?
Census tract 24005451200 in the Goldentree neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24005451200?
Median gross rent is $1,444/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24005451200?
10.5% of residents in tract 24005451200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,160.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24005451200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 44th, minority 39th, housing 39th.
Q5
Is tract 24005451200 considered part of Goldentree?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005451200 fall within Goldentree (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24005451200 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24005451200 compare to Middle River overall?
Tract 24005451200 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Middle River at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middle River eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middle River
Top eight tracts in Middle River ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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