Skip to content
Neighborhood · Middle River, MD

Goldentree Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 4,160 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.8/10 · range 6.8–6.8

Goldentree maps to a single census tract in Middle River, MD and houses 4,160 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6.8/10, in the Elevated tier. The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 8.9/10.

On the high side is housing-court posture at 8/10. Against a Middle River baseline of 41.2%, 47% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.3/10. 9% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Average gross rent is $1,444, 12% below the Middle River average of $1,636. That places it #4 of 6 neighborhoods in Middle River.

Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Glenmar Manor and Stansbury Forest score within a fraction of it. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $74,063.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 6.8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.8
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Goldentree vs Middle River How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.9% +14%
Middle River: 41.2%
Average gross rent
$1,444 -12%
Middle River: $1,636
Average HH income
$74,063 0%
Middle River: $74,198
Poverty rate
10.5% -35%
Middle River: 16.2%
Renter share
13.4% -60%
Middle River: 33.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Goldentree and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.8–6.8

Why Goldentree scores 6.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts
8.9
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
13% renter households · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Economic stress
10.5% below poverty line · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Risk score comparison

Goldentree vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Goldentree score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.8GoldentreeNeighborhood6.3Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Goldentree

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24005451200 6.8 4,160 47% $1,444
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 45

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 51%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 44%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 39%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 39%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Goldentree

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Goldentree

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Goldentree?

Goldentree scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Goldentree compare to Middle River overall?

Goldentree scores 0.5 points higher than Middle River overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 41% citywide. Average rent: $1,444 vs $1,636.
Q3

What is the average rent in Goldentree?

Average gross rent in Goldentree is $1,444/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Goldentree residents are renters?

13% of Goldentree households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Middle River). The neighborhood has 4,160 residents.
Q5

Is Goldentree a high social-vulnerability area?

Goldentree sits in the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Goldentree for landlords?

Goldentree carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Middle River as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Goldentree?

Goldentree has 3,998 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (11.7%), Other / Multiracial (5.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Goldentree

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Middle River

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Goldentree.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further