Neighborhood · Middle River, MD

Goldentree Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,160 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.9–4.9

Goldentree is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Middle River with 1 census tract and a population of 4,160 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 47% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 9% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,444/month sits 12% lower than the Middle River citywide average ($1,636).

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Goldentree vs Middle River How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

46.9% +14%

Middle River: 41.2%

Average gross rent

$1,444 -12%

Middle River: $1,636

Average HH income

$74,063 0%

Middle River: $74,198

Poverty rate

10.5% -35%

Middle River: 16.2%

Renter share

13.4% -60%

Middle River: 33.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Goldentree and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.9–4.9

Why Goldentree scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts

6.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts

8.9

Rent control risk

47% of income on rent · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts

8.9

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts

5.2

Tenant organizing strength

13% renter households · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts

7.3

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts

8.0

Economic stress

10.5% below poverty line · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts

2.6

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Risk score comparison

Goldentree vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Goldentree

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
24005451200	4.9	4,160	47%	$1,444

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 45

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 51%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 44%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 39%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 39%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Goldentree

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

12.5%Housing insecurity
7.3%Utility shutoff threat
15.2%Food insecurity
11.5%SNAP enrollment
9.4%No health insurance
30.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Goldentree

What is the eviction-risk score for Goldentree?

Goldentree scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Goldentree compare to Middle River overall?

Goldentree scores 1.4 points lower than Middle River overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 41% citywide. Average rent: $1,444 vs $1,636.

What is the average rent in Goldentree?

Average gross rent in Goldentree is $1,444/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Goldentree residents are renters?

13% of Goldentree households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Middle River). The neighborhood has 4,160 residents.

Is Goldentree a high social-vulnerability area?

Goldentree sits in the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Goldentree for landlords?

Goldentree carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Middle River as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Goldentree?

Goldentree has 3,998 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (11.7%), Other / Multiracial (5.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Goldentree

5.1 Glenmar Manor 2 tracts · pop 7,230 2.9 Kenwood 4 tracts · pop 13,465 3.7 Apple Ridge 2 tracts · pop 5,869 5.3 Battle Grove 2 tracts · pop 7,814 5.2 Gray Haven 2 tracts · pop 3,580 4.9 Eastfield 2 tracts · pop 6,182

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Middle River

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Goldentree.

5 Glenmar Manor 2 tracts · pop 7,230 4.7 Stansbury Forest 1 tracts · pop 1,846 6.4 Hawthorne 1 tracts · pop 4,429 3.4 Bengies 1 tracts · pop 5,906 6.7 Wampler Village 1 tracts · pop 5,327

Zoom out