Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

Carrollton Eviction Risk: Moderate , Frederick

Tract 24021765100 · Frederick County, MD · pop 4,673 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Tract 24021765100 sits in the Carrollton area of Frederick eviction risk, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. It is home to 4,673 residents. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 14% Owners 66%

Tract context

Occupied units1,950

Renter share33.7%

SVI overall0.61

Poverty rate9.9%

Median income$79,315

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Frederick and the region

Centroid at 39.4049, -77.4251 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carrollton scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Frederick

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

9.9% poverty · this tract

2.5

Supply constraint

$1,623 rent vs county FMR

2.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Frederick

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Frederick

3.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Frederick

4.5

How Carrollton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

54%Socioeconomic
68%Household composition
51%Racial/ethnic minority
58%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.2%Housing insecurity
9.0%Utility-shutoff threat
16.2%Food insecurity
12.6%SNAP enrollment
8.3%Transit barriers
11.8%No health insurance
16.7%Frequent mental distress
27.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carrollton

Cost burden runs 60% here against 39.1% across Frederick County. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. It sits 1.6 points above the Frederick County average of 4.3.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.5/10. Nationally it ranks #19,618 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Average gross rent is $1,623, close to the Frederick average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $79,315.

34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 24021765100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24021765100?

Census tract 24021765100 in the Carrollton neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24021765100?

Median gross rent is $1,623/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24021765100?

9.9% of residents in tract 24021765100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,673.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24021765100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 68th, minority 51th, housing 58th.

Is tract 24021765100 considered part of Carrollton?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24021765100 fall within Carrollton (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24021765100 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24021765100 compare to Frederick overall?

Tract 24021765100 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Frederick at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Frederick eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Frederick

Top eight tracts in Frederick ranked by composite eviction-risk score.