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Neighborhood · Frederick, MD

Carrollton Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,673 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.9/10 · range 5.9–5.9

Carrollton maps to a single census tract in Frederick, MD, population 4,673. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.9/10, in the Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 40%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

60% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Frederick rate of 31.2%. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 2/10. Running cool is economic stress, at 2.5/10.

Average gross rent is $1,623, 8% below the Frederick average of $1,764. Among the 19 mapped neighborhoods of Frederick, it ranks #8 by risk, the middle third.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $79,315. 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 5.9/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Carrollton vs Frederick How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
59.8% +92%
Frederick: 31.2%
Average gross rent
$1,623 -8%
Frederick: $1,764
Average HH income
$79,315 -17%
Frederick: $95,150
Poverty rate
9.9% +5%
Frederick: 9.4%
Renter share
33.7% -18%
Frederick: 41.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carrollton and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.9–5.9

Why Carrollton scores 5.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
60% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
34% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
9.9% below poverty line · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Risk score comparison

Carrollton vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Carrollton score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Carrollton: 5.95.9CarrolltonNeighborhoodParent city: 4.64.6Parent cityhost cityState: 5.55.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Carrollton

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24021765100 5.9 4,673 60% $1,623
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 61

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 55%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 68%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 51%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 58%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carrollton

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Carrollton

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Carrollton?

Carrollton scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Carrollton compare to Frederick overall?

Carrollton scores 1.3 points higher than Frederick overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,623 vs $1,764.
Q3

What is the average rent in Carrollton?

Average gross rent in Carrollton is $1,623/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Carrollton residents are renters?

34% of Carrollton households are renter-occupied (vs 41% in Frederick). The neighborhood has 4,673 residents.
Q5

Is Carrollton a high social-vulnerability area?

Carrollton sits in the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Carrollton for landlords?

Carrollton carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Frederick as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Carrollton?

Carrollton has 4,759 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (61.3%), Hispanic / Latino (22%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Carrollton

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Frederick

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Carrollton.

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