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Neighborhood · Frederick, MD

Carrollton Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,673 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.9/10 · range 5.9–5.9

Carrollton maps to a single census tract in Frederick, MD, population 4,673. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.9/10, in the Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 40%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

60% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Frederick rate of 31.2%. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 2/10. Running cool is economic stress, at 2.5/10.

Average gross rent is $1,623, 8% below the Frederick average of $1,764. Among the 19 mapped neighborhoods of Frederick, it ranks #8 by risk, the middle third.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $79,315. 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 5.9/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Carrollton vs Frederick How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
59.8% +92%
Frederick: 31.2%
Average gross rent
$1,623 -8%
Frederick: $1,764
Average HH income
$79,315 -17%
Frederick: $95,150
Poverty rate
9.9% +5%
Frederick: 9.4%
Renter share
33.7% -18%
Frederick: 41.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carrollton and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.9–5.9

Why Carrollton scores 5.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
60% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
34% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
9.9% below poverty line · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Risk score comparison

Carrollton vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Carrollton score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.9CarrolltonNeighborhood4.6Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Carrollton

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
24021765100 5.9 4,673 60% $1,623
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 61

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 55%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 68%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 51%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 58%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carrollton

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Carrollton

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Carrollton?

Carrollton scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Carrollton compare to Frederick overall?

Carrollton scores 1.3 points higher than Frederick overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,623 vs $1,764.
Q3

What is the average rent in Carrollton?

Average gross rent in Carrollton is $1,623/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Carrollton residents are renters?

34% of Carrollton households are renter-occupied (vs 41% in Frederick). The neighborhood has 4,673 residents.
Q5

Is Carrollton a high social-vulnerability area?

Carrollton sits in the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Carrollton for landlords?

Carrollton carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Frederick as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Carrollton?

Carrollton has 4,759 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (61.3%), Hispanic / Latino (22%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Carrollton

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Frederick

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Carrollton.

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