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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

Braemar Eviction Risk: Moderate , Aberdeen

Tract 24025302902 · Harford County, MD · pop 4,650 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Eviction risk in the Braemar neighborhood of Aberdeen centers on tract 24025302902, which scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 4,650 residents. That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 56% of renter households, a severe level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,254 a month while the average household earns $71,756 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 11% Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units2,077
Renter share25.2%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$71,756

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Braemar
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Aberdeen
Moderate
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#6 of 59 tracts In Harford County
Very High
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#447 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Aberdeen and the region

Centroid at 39.5009, -76.1740 · click any tract to drill in

Why Braemar scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aberdeen
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,254 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aberdeen
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aberdeen
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aberdeen
7.0

How Braemar compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Braemar risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 302902Aberdeen: 5.85.8Aberdeenparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Braemar

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Aberdeen, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Harford County average of 6.0 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24025302902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24025302902?

Census tract 24025302902 in the Braemar neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24025302902?

Median gross rent is $1,254/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24025302902?

5.3% of residents in tract 24025302902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,650.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24025302902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 73th, minority 61th, housing 27th.
Q5

Is tract 24025302902 considered part of Braemar?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24025302902 fall within Braemar (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24025302902 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24025302902 compare to Aberdeen overall?

Tract 24025302902 scores 4.4/10, lower than the parent city of Aberdeen at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aberdeen; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aberdeen

Top eight tracts in Aberdeen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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