Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Harlan Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bel Air
Tract 24025303803 · Harford County, MD · pop 5,043 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 24025303803 sits in the Harlan Square area of Bel Air, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Cost burden runs 65% here against 41.1% across Harford County.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units2,213
Renter share33.2%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate13.7%
Median income$78,448
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
52
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bel Air and the region
Centroid at 39.5450, -76.3457 · click any tract to drill in
Why Harlan Square scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bel Air
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
13.7% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,697 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bel Air
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bel Air
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bel Air
2.2
How Harlan Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 34%Racial/ethnic minority
- 58%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.1%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.0%Food insecurity
- 10.9%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 8.5%No health insurance
- 17.0%Frequent mental distress
- 27.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Harlan Square
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.9/10. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Well under the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 2.2/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.6/10.
It sits 1.0 points above the Harford County average of 4.4. At $1,697 a month, rents run 14% over what the rest of Bel Air commands.
That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.8/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $78,448. 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24025303803
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24025303803?
Census tract 24025303803 in the Harlan Square neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24025303803?
Median gross rent is $1,697/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24025303803?
13.7% of residents in tract 24025303803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,043.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24025303803?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 76th, minority 34th, housing 58th.
Q5
Is tract 24025303803 considered part of Harlan Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24025303803 fall within Harlan Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24025303803 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24025303803 compare to Bel Air overall?
Tract 24025303803 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Bel Air at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bel Air; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bel Air
Top eight tracts in Bel Air ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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