Neighborhood · Bel Air, MD

Harlan Square Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,043 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.9/10 · range 2.9–2.9

Harlan Square is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Bel Air with 1 census tract and a population of 5,043 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.9/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 65% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 32% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,697/month sits 14% higher than the Bel Air citywide average ($1,492).

Risk score

2.9

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Harlan Square vs Bel Air How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

65.2% +91%

Bel Air: 34.1%

Average gross rent

$1,697 +14%

Bel Air: $1,492

Average HH income

$78,448 -10%

Bel Air: $87,636

Poverty rate

13.7% +3,162%

Bel Air: 0.4%

Renter share

33.2% -19%

Bel Air: 40.8%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Harlan Square and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 2.9–2.9

Why Harlan Square scores 2.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts

4.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Rent control risk

65% of income on rent · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts

2.6

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts

5.4

Tenant organizing strength

33% renter households · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts

2.7

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Economic stress

13.7% below poverty line · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts

3.6

Risk score comparison

Harlan Square vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Harlan Square

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
24025303803	2.9	5,043	65%	$1,697

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 65

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 62%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 76%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 34%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 58%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Harlan Square

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

11.1%Housing insecurity
7.2%Utility shutoff threat
13.0%Food insecurity
10.9%SNAP enrollment
8.5%No health insurance
27.5%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Harlan Square

What is the eviction-risk score for Harlan Square?

Harlan Square scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Harlan Square compare to Bel Air overall?

Harlan Square scores 2.6 points lower than Bel Air overall (5.5/10). Renters spend 65% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,697 vs $1,492.

What is the average rent in Harlan Square?

Average gross rent in Harlan Square is $1,697/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Harlan Square residents are renters?

33% of Harlan Square households are renter-occupied (vs 41% in Bel Air). The neighborhood has 5,043 residents.

Is Harlan Square a high social-vulnerability area?

Harlan Square sits in the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Harlan Square for landlords?

Harlan Square carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bel Air as a whole (5.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Harlan Square?

Harlan Square has 5,097 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (74.1%), Hispanic / Latino (13.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (7.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Harlan Square

2.1 Foster Branch 2 tracts · pop 10,201 4.1 Somerset Manor 2 tracts · pop 6,415

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bel Air

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Harlan Square.

2.3 South Bel Air 1 tracts · pop 2,552 3.6 Howard Park 1 tracts · pop 2,889

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