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Neighborhood · Ranked #69,776 of 84,120 nationally

South Bel Air Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 24025303900 · Harford County, MD · pop 2,552 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 24025303900 (the South Bel Air neighborhood of Bel Air, Maryland) comes in at 6.1/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 78% of US census tracts.

About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,677 a month against an average household income of $110,000 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 19% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units948
Renter share36.0%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate14.7%
Median income$110,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In South Bel Air
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Bel Air
Very Low
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 59 tracts In Harford County
Elevated
Within state
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#977 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bel Air and the region

Centroid at 39.5329, -76.3357 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Bel Air scores 2.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bel Air
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
14.7% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,677 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bel Air
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bel Air
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bel Air
2.2

How South Bel Air compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Bel Air risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.32.3This tracttract 303900Bel Air: 5.55.5Bel Airparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Bel Air

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 5.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bel Air, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harford County average of 6.0 and below the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24025303900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24025303900?

Census tract 24025303900 in the South Bel Air neighborhood scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24025303900?

Median gross rent is $1,677/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24025303900?

14.7% of residents in tract 24025303900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,552.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24025303900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 32th, minority 45th, housing 65th.
Q5

Is tract 24025303900 considered part of South Bel Air?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24025303900 fall within South Bel Air (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24025303900 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24025303900 compare to Bel Air overall?

Tract 24025303900 scores 2.3/10, lower than the parent city of Bel Air at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bel Air; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bel Air

Top eight tracts in Bel Air ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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