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Neighborhood · Bel Air, MD

South Bel Air Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,552 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10 · range 4.7–4.7

South Bel Air maps to a single census tract in Bel Air, MD, population 2,552. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.7/10, Moderate tier. 48% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Bel Air rate of 34.1%.

29% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is housing-court posture, at 2.2/10.

Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.6/10. On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.7/10.

At $1,677 a month, rents sit 12% over what the rest of Bel Air commands. The closest comparables inside the same city are Howard Park and Harlan Square.

Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.7/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
South Bel Air vs Bel Air How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
47.8% +40%
Bel Air: 34.1%
Average gross rent
$1,677 +12%
Bel Air: $1,492
Average HH income
$110,000 +26%
Bel Air: $87,636
Poverty rate
14.7% +3,400%
Bel Air: 0.4%
Renter share
36.0% -12%
Bel Air: 40.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Bel Air and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.7–4.7

Why South Bel Air scores 4.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
48% of income on rent · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
36% renter households · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Economic stress
14.7% below poverty line · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

South Bel Air vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Bel Air score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.7South Bel AirNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in South Bel Air

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
24025303900 4.7 2,552 48% $1,677
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 42

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 32%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 32%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 45%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 65%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Bel Air

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About South Bel Air

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Bel Air?

South Bel Air scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Bel Air compare to Bel Air overall?

South Bel Air scores 0.7 points higher than Bel Air overall (4/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,677 vs $1,492.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Bel Air?

Average gross rent in South Bel Air is $1,677/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Bel Air residents are renters?

36% of South Bel Air households are renter-occupied (vs 41% in Bel Air). The neighborhood has 2,552 residents.
Q5

Is South Bel Air a high social-vulnerability area?

South Bel Air sits in the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is South Bel Air for landlords?

South Bel Air carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bel Air as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of South Bel Air?

South Bel Air has 2,518 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (72%), Hispanic / Latino (12.5%), Other / Multiracial (8.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Bel Air

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bel Air

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South Bel Air.

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