Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Pine Orchard Eviction Risk: Moderate , Ellicott City
Tract 24027602303 ·
Howard County, MD · pop 4,465 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 4.1/10, tract 24027602303 in the Pine Orchard area of Ellicott City, MD reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs about three-quarters here against 45.4% across Howard County.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%Stable renters 1%Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units1,482
Renter share3.8%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate2.0%
Median income$214,432
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Pine Orchard
Moderate
Within parent city
62th percentile
#6 of 14 tracts In Ellicott City
Elevated
Within county
24th percentile
#45 of 59 tracts In Howard County
Low
Within state
26th percentile
#1,087 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ellicott City and the region
Centroid at 39.2603, -76.8741 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pine Orchard scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Ellicott City
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
2.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,744 rent vs county FMR
9.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ellicott City
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ellicott City
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ellicott City
4.4
How Pine Orchard compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
1%Socioeconomic
18%Household composition
66%Racial/ethnic minority
1%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
4.9%Housing insecurity
2.9%Utility-shutoff threat
5.5%Food insecurity
2.9%SNAP enrollment
3.3%Transit barriers
3.5%No health insurance
9.8%Frequent mental distress
16.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pine Orchard
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.9/10. The voucher gap is 39.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Average gross rent is $2,744, 33% above the Ellicott City average.
On the high side, supply constraint reads 9/10. Disability prevalence runs 16.1% against 31.5% nationally. Food insecurity runs 5.5% against 17.8% nationally.
It sits 1.2 points below the Howard County average of 5.3. On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 4% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Against average income of $214,432, annual rent is just 15%.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24027602303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24027602303?
Census tract 24027602303 in the Pine Orchard neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24027602303?
Median gross rent is $2,744/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24027602303?
2.0% of residents in tract 24027602303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,465.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24027602303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 18th, minority 66th, housing 1th.
Q5
Is tract 24027602303 considered part of Pine Orchard?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24027602303 fall within Pine Orchard (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24027602303 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24027602303 compare to Ellicott City overall?
Tract 24027602303 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Ellicott City at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ellicott City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ellicott City
Top eight tracts in Ellicott City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.