Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally
Pine Orchard Eviction Risk: Lower , Ellicott City
Tract 24027602303 · Howard County, MD · pop 4,465 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
The Pine Orchard area of Ellicott City anchors census tract 24027602303, which lands at 6.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #8,047 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
77% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,744 a month while the average household earns $214,432 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 4% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units1,482
Renter share3.8%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate2.0%
Median income$214,432
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
40
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ellicott City and the region
Centroid at 39.2603, -76.8741 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pine Orchard scores 2.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ellicott City
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
2.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,744 rent vs county FMR
9.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ellicott City
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ellicott City
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ellicott City
4.4
How Pine Orchard compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 1%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.9%Housing insecurity
- 2.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.5%Food insecurity
- 2.9%SNAP enrollment
- 3.3%Transit barriers
- 3.5%No health insurance
- 9.8%Frequent mental distress
- 16.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pine Orchard
What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ellicott City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Howard County average of 6.5 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 4.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 2.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 2nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24027602303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24027602303?
Census tract 24027602303 in the Pine Orchard neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24027602303?
Median gross rent is $2,744/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24027602303?
2.0% of residents in tract 24027602303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,465.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24027602303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 18th, minority 66th, housing 1th.
Q5
Is tract 24027602303 considered part of Pine Orchard?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24027602303 fall within Pine Orchard (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24027602303 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24027602303 compare to Ellicott City overall?
Tract 24027602303 scores 2.7/10, lower than the parent city of Ellicott City at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ellicott City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ellicott City
Top eight tracts in Ellicott City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MD
Ivy Hill
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Chestnut Hill
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Stonecrest Hills
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Brinkleigh
2.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Worthington
2.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Market Square South
2.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
24027603001
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
24027603004
2.7
/ 10 · Low
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