Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally
Black Hill Eviction Risk: Lower , Germantown
Tract 24031700308 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 6,880 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Census tract 24031700308 runs through the Black Hill area of Germantown. With 6,880 residents, it scores $1/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 95% of US census tracts.
About 70% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,003 a month against an average household income of $122,361 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 26% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units2,551
Renter share26.3%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate9.1%
Median income$122,361
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
38
th percentile
Low
Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
45
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Germantown and the region
Centroid at 39.1979, -77.2779 · click any tract to drill in
Why Black Hill scores 2.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Germantown
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
9.1% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$2,003 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Germantown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Germantown
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Germantown
5.5
How Black Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 32%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.6%Housing insecurity
- 6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.3%Food insecurity
- 8.2%SNAP enrollment
- 6.4%Transit barriers
- 8.6%No health insurance
- 13.4%Frequent mental distress
- 21.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Black Hill
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Germantown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031700308
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700308?
Census tract 24031700308 in the Black Hill neighborhood scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031700308?
Median gross rent is $2,003/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700308?
9.1% of residents in tract 24031700308 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,880.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700308?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 55th, minority 78th, housing 48th.
Q5
Is tract 24031700308 considered part of Black Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700308 fall within Black Hill (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031700308 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031700308 compare to Germantown overall?
Tract 24031700308 scores 2.9/10, lower than the parent city of Germantown at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Germantown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Germantown
Top eight tracts in Germantown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MD
The Colony
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Brandermill
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Kings Square
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
North Germantown
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Germantown Park
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Brandermill
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Williamsburg Square
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
North Germantown
3.4
/ 10 · Low
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